Daily GDP nowcasts
Where is the world economy growing this quarter?
Model estimates of current-quarter real GDP growth for the world, its regions and its largest economies, updated every morning from the latest public data. Percent, seasonally adjusted annual rate.
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World & regions
Aggregates weight each modelled economy by GDP in current US dollars (World Bank). The part of a region not yet modelled is held at its latest annual growth; coverage shows the modelled share.
Economies
The US, euro area and China run dedicated models; the other economies use a standard template whose inputs lag by about two months. Model skill compares each model's backtest error with a naive forecast.